Vol.5, No.1, February 2016.                                                                                                               ISSN: 2217-8309

                                                                                                                                                          eISSN: 2217-8333


TEM Journal



Association for Information Communication Technology Education and Science

Anticipatory Cyber Security Research: An Ultimate Technique for the First-Move Advantage


Bharat S.Rawal, Songjie Liang, Alae Loukili, Qiang Duan


© 2016 Bharat S.Rawal et al, published by UIKTEN. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License. (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)


Citation Information: TEM Journal. Volume 5, Issue 1, Pages 3–14, ISSN 2217-8309, DOI: 10.18421/TEM51-01, February 2016




Across all industry segments, 96 percent of systems could be breached on average. In the game of cyber security, every moment a new player (attacker) is entering the game with new skill sets. An attacker only needs to be effective once while defenders of cyberspace have to be successful all of the time. There will be a first-mover advantage in such a chasing game, which means that the first move often wins. In this paper, in order to face the security challenges brought in by attacker’s first move advantage, we analyzed the past ten years of cyber-attacks, studied the immediate attack’s pattern and offer the tools to predict the next move of the cyber attacker.


Keywords – Cyber security; Vulnerability; State Based Stochastic Model; Anticipatory Research



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