Vol.14, No.2, May 2025.                                                                                                                                                                          ISSN: 2217-8309

                                                                                                                                                                                                                        eISSN: 2217-8333

 

TEM Journal

 

TECHNOLOGY, EDUCATION, MANAGEMENT, INFORMATICS

Association for Information Communication Technology Education and Science


Predicting Student Graduation Outcomes: An Evaluation of Project-Based Learning and Implementation of Naïve Bayes

 

Khairi Budayawan, Ganefri Ganefri, Muhammad Anwar, Agariadne Dwinggo Samala, Natalie-Jane Howard, Randi Proska Sandra

 

© 2025 Khairi Budayawan, published by UIKTEN. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License. (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)

 

Citation Information: TEM Journal. Volume 14, Issue 2, Pages 1586-1601, ISSN 2217-8309, DOI: 10.18421/TEM142-56, May 2025.

 

Received: 06 July 2024.

Revised:  01 February 2025.
Accepted: 24 February 2025.
Published: 27 May 2025.

 

Abstract:

 

This study explores the application of the Naïve Bayes algorithm within the framework of Project-Based Learning (PjBL) to predict student graduation timing and likelihood. The evaluation of student competencies across several performance dimensions, such as problem analysis, project planning, data preparation, feature extraction, and algorithm implementation, demonstrates the effectiveness of the approach. Predictive analysis and result interpretation were successful, indicating a strong correlation between project-based learning outcomes and graduation success. Additionally, the research uncovers insights into the role of creativity and innovation in predicting student graduation. This study highlights the potential benefits of integrating PjBL into educational curricula and underscores the utility of the Naïve Bayes method in forecasting graduation outcomes in higher education.

 

Keywords – Naïve Bayes, project-based learning, learning assessment, student graduation, project competency evaluation.

 

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